Super Bowl 57 props: Consider betting these five Eagles game-related props

There are more ways to bet the Super Bowl than there are opinions on who makes the best Philly cheesesteak.

While most bettors tend to gravitate toward player-related Super Bowl props, strong wagering value also can be found on the fringes with game-specific props.

And these props literally span the entire game — from “Will the opening kickoff result in a touchback?” to “Will the last play of the game be a quarterback kneel-down?” Plus a whole lot in between.

Here are five Eagles-related game props to consider ahead of Super Bowl 57 on Feb. 12 in Glendale, Arizona.

Odds updated as of 1 p.m. ET on Feb. 2.

Philadelphia didn’t just put up points on its opening drive in playoff wins over the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers, but both were touchdowns.

In fact, the Eagles have tallied opening-drive points in all three games since quarterback Jalen Hurts returned from injury.

And going back to a 35-13 home victory over Pittsburgh in Week 8, Philadelphia has scored on its initial drive in 10 of its last 13 games overall (eight touchdowns, two field goals).

However, on Super Bowl Sunday the Eagles will face a Kansas City defense that has been stingy early in games lately. Over the last seven contests, that stop unit has yielded just a single field goal on the opening drive (against the Raiders in the regular-season finale).

What about the Super Bowl nerves factor? Could be a thing. Only two teams have scored on their opening drives in the last six Super Bowls.

Both occurred in the same game: In Super Bowl 52, the Patriots and Eagles each kicked field goals the first time they touched the pigskin.

» READ MORE: Looking to bet on the Super Bowl? Here are the best NFL betting sites

Are you a believer in patterns? If so, you’re going to want to lay the odds with “run” on this prop. Because here’s what the Eagles have done on their first offensive play over the past seven games that Hurts has started:

Incomplete pass (vs. Packers), run (vs. Titans), completed pass (vs. Giants), run (vs. Bears), completed pass (vs. Giants), run (vs. Giants in wild-card round), completed pass (vs. 49ers in divisional round).

If head coach Nick Sirianni stays true to form, Hurts will either take off running or hand the ball to tailback Miles Sanders on Philly’s opening play.

Counterargument, though: The Chiefs’ defense this season ranked eighth against the run but 18th versus the pass.

» READ MORE: Will Eagles, Chiefs pile up points in Arizona? Here’s what the trends say.

Hurts and Co. put up an average of 389.1 total yards per game in the regular season, good for third in the league behind Kansas City (413.6) and Buffalo (397.6).

Including the postseason, the Eagles have gained at least 367 yards in 11 of the 17 games that Hurts has been in control of the offense. But the season-long numbers indicate that offense has been streaky.

Philadelphia put up 400-plus yards in each of its first four games. Then it was held to 360 yards or fewer in five of the next six contests. Then came this five-week stretch of dominance: 500, 453, 437, 421, 442 (the latter without Hurts).

That has been followed by yardage outputs of 313 (no Hurts), 342, 416 and 269.

What about the Chiefs’ defense? It yielded 328.2 yards per game in the regular season. But that average is down to 302.3 over the last seven games (playoffs included).

Not one of those seven opponents produced more than 350 yards against Kansas City. In fact, since returning from their bye in Week 8, the Chiefs have surrendered more than 350 yards just twice: Justin Herbert and the Chargers had 365 in Week 11, and two weeks later, Joe Burrow and the Bengals produced 431.

This much seems pretty certain: The Eagles will at least get to 20 points in Super Bowl 57. Because they’ve done so in every game that Hurts has started this season but one (a 17-16 win at Indianapolis in Week 17).

Also, going back to a 40-33 win over Green Bay in Week 12, Philadelphia has topped 30 points in six of its last nine games (including one that backup QB Gardner Minshew started).

With Hurts at the helm, the Eagles have averaged 34.1 points since the Green Bay game. The low points: 22 in the regular-season finale against the Giants and 25 in Week 15 at Chicago (the game in which Hurts was injured).

But all this doesn’t make the Over on this prop a slam dunk. Because Philadelphia has tallied more than 26 points in barely half its games (10 of 19).

What’s more, Kansas City has allowed more than 26 points just three times in its last 14 games — and barely. The Chargers and Bengals each scored 27 in Weeks 11 and 13, while Denver put up 28 in Week 14.

Since the Broncos game, none of the Chiefs’ last six opponents has scored more than 24 points.

» READ MORE: Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes top Super Bowl MVP odds. Are there any value bets behind them?

It might be worth taking a shot on the “Yes” with this prop — especially with the nice plus-money price Caesars is offering. Here’s why:

With and without Hurts, Philadelphia has scored in all four quarters six times in its last nine contests. And if not for a scoreless first quarter in Chicago and a scoreless fourth quarter in the wild-card blowout of the Giants, it would be eight of the last nine contests.

Kansas City hasn’t surrendered points in all four quarters since the Houston Texans — of all teams — did it in Week 15. Cincinnati also pulled it off in its 27-24 home win over the Chiefs on Dec. 4.

In all, six teams have tallied points in every quarter against Kansas City. However, 15 of the Chiefs’ last 18 opponents have scored in at least three of four quarters.

Finally, from the “for what it’s worth” department: In Super Bowl 52 five years ago, Philadelphia scored in every quarter against New England (9, 13, 7 and 12 points).

That Eagles squad? It wasn’t nearly as explosive as the 2022-23 version.

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